I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–4 on winners spread MAE 8.1 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bradley @ Belmont +9.1 152.0 78% 78–88 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Queens University +3.1 155.8 73% 89–91 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Georgia +0.8 151.9 57% 85–87 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa +11.8 129.3 85% 66–75 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside -7.8 141.4 26% 88–45 ✓
North Florida @ Austin Peay +14.8 146.9 87% 83–102 ✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -1.4 144.4 47% 91–85 ✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +2.6 138.8 63% 79–64 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +6.5 146.7 73% 59–68 ✓
Murray State @ UIC -8.0 151.1 30% 81–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +1.3 147.2 60% 75–89 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +12.2 145.2 87% 84–97 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton +0.1 157.3 52% 84–95 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -7.6 157.9 26% 65–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Florida International +0.2 150.3 49% 74–89 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +5.6 133.3 70% 65–75 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Niagara -4.2 138.2 25% 61–64 ✗
Fairfield @ Canisius -4.8 133.1 31% 81–85 ✗
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +0.6 155.7 54% 91–102 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.