Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Gallagher Center · January 2, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SHU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money NIA +114 / SHU -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total NIA win
Actual NIA +3 125 Won
Massey SHU -3.7 (+6.7)
Massey Totals 141.9 (-16.9)
Bradley-Terry 31%
Weighted B-T 22%
Efficiency Plus ML SHU -5.1 (+8.1) 137.5 (-12.5) 26%
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -4.9 (+7.9) 133.8 (-8.8) 34%
Baseline ML SHU -4.2 (+7.2) 138.2 (-13.2) 25%
Baseline Plus ML SHU -4.8 (+7.8) 134.1 (-9.1) 32%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 SHU 7170 NIA
Jan 25, 2025 SHU 8677 NIA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NIA SHU
Overall 8-22 14-19
Conference 5-15 9-11
Home 6-7 8-5
Away 2-14 5-13
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.3 74.3
Avg Pts Against 71.7 77.6
Massey -16.1 (#354) -8.5 (#291)
Bradley-Terry -2.77 (#343) -1.33 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.75 (#343) -1.82 (#273)
RPI 0.380 (#347) 0.430 (#297)
Shooting & Four Factors NIA SHU
FG% 40.4% 41.8%
3PT% 29.3% 34.8%
REB / G 27.5 34.8
OREB / G 7.5 11.5
AST / TO 1.01 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.2% 50.6%
TOV% 18.6% 19.6%
ORB% 22.2% 31.6%
FT Rate 22.2% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.5% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 17.5%
DRB% 66.9% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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