Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NIA -130 SHU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +9 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -1.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -0.2 (-9.2) | 140.6 (+22.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -0.9 (-9.9) | 141.9 (+21.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -0.4 (-9.4) | 142.4 (+20.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.4 (-8.6) | 143.2 (+19.8) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | SHU 71 – 70 NIA |
| Jan 2, 2026 | NIA 64 – 61 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#305) | -6.9 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#301) | -1.45 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#310) | -1.61 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#309) | 0.434 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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