Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -485 NIA +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -10.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -8.5 (-7.5) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -8.4 (-7.4) | 136.0 (+5.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -8.4 (-7.4) | 134.7 (+6.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -8.5 (-7.5) | 134.6 (+6.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 2, 2026 | NIA 64 – 61 SHU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SHU 86 – 77 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#288) | -15.1 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#285) | -2.48 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#271) | -3.21 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#269) | 0.394 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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