Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UCR +350 HAW -455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +43 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -7.5 (-35.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -9.3 (-33.7) | 144.8 (-11.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -6.3 (-36.7) | 140.9 (-7.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -8.2 (-34.8) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -7.8 (-35.2) | 141.4 (-8.4) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | HAW 93 – 74 UCR |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCR 82 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 10, 2025 | HAW 83 – 76 UCR |
| Mar 3, 2024 | HAW 76 – 73 UCR |
| Jan 14, 2024 | HAW 63 – 56 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 16-3 |
| Away | 3-15 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#254) | 5.6 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#196) | 0.86 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#179) | 1.53 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#137) | 0.498 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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