Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -110 UCR -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -0.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -1.0 (-5.0) | 143.6 (+14.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -0.5 (-5.5) | 141.2 (+16.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -0.2 (-5.8) | 141.5 (+16.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -0.9 (-5.1) | 142.5 (+15.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | HAW 93 – 74 UCR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | HAW 88 – 45 UCR |
| Jan 10, 2025 | HAW 83 – 76 UCR |
| Mar 3, 2024 | HAW 76 – 73 UCR |
| Jan 14, 2024 | HAW 63 – 56 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#217) | 0.4 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#187) | 0.95 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#191) | 0.69 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#231) | 0.554 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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