Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -185 MSM +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -7.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -5.3 (+4.7) | 132.1 (+7.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.9 (+4.1) | 131.9 (+8.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -6.9 (+3.1) | 133.0 (+7.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.6 (+4.4) | 133.3 (+6.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRMK 87 – 70 MSM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MSM 57 – 55 MRMK |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MSM 66 – 58 MRMK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | MSM 69 – 53 MRMK |
| Jan 17, 2022 | MSM 57 – 50 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#266) | -10.2 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#197) | -1.70 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#208) | -2.51 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#226) | 0.421 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 57.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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