Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -380 MSM +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -9.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -7.5 (-15.5) | 130.0 (-6.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -8.1 (-16.1) | 131.3 (-7.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -8.5 (-16.5) | 131.0 (-7.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -8.7 (-16.7) | 130.1 (-6.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRMK 87 – 70 MSM |
| Jan 2, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 65 MSM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MSM 57 – 55 MRMK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | MSM 69 – 53 MRMK |
| Jan 17, 2022 | MSM 57 – 50 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#177) | -7.7 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#160) | -0.55 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#169) | -1.12 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#114) | 0.485 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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