Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -400 MSM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +2 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -3.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -2.7 (-4.7) | 129.8 (-17.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -2.3 (-4.3) | 131.6 (-19.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -2.6 (-4.6) | 130.4 (-18.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -2.8 (-4.8) | 129.6 (-17.6) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRMK 87 – 70 MSM |
| Jan 2, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 65 MSM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MSM 66 – 58 MRMK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | MSM 69 – 53 MRMK |
| Jan 17, 2022 | MSM 57 – 50 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#192) | -5.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#179) | -0.18 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#180) | -0.60 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#114) | 0.518 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 61.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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