Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -192 EKU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +2 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -4.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -4.2 (-2.2) | 155.1 (+24.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -2.9 (-0.9) | 154.0 (+26.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -3.4 (-1.4) | 153.7 (+26.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -3.1 (-1.1) | 155.8 (+24.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | QUC 96 – 79 EKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | EKU 86 – 80 QUC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | QUC 94 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | EKU 84 – 80 QUC |
| Dec 31, 2022 | EKU 88 – 83 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#249) | -6.5 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#258) | -1.18 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#257) | -1.62 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#266) | 0.479 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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