What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 2, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -4.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Over
Money QUC -192 / EKU +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +2 180 Won
Massey QUC -4.9 (-2.9)
Massey Totals 167.5 (+12.5)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 71%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -2.9 (-0.9) 154.0 (+26.0) 72%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -3.4 (-1.4) 153.7 (+26.3) 66%
Baseline ML QUC -3.1 (-1.1) 155.8 (+24.2) 73%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -4.2 (-2.2) 155.1 (+24.9) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 QUC 9679 EKU
Feb 15, 2025 EKU 8680 QUC
Feb 2, 2024 QUC 9476 EKU
Feb 10, 2023 EKU 8480 QUC
Dec 31, 2022 EKU 8883 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC EKU
Overall 21-14 11-21
Conference 13-5 7-11
Home 12-2 8-7
Away 6-10 3-13
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 84.4 77.5
Avg Pts Against 83.8 83.1
Massey -5.4 (#249) -6.5 (#268)
Bradley-Terry -1.12 (#258) -1.18 (#263)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.42 (#257) -1.62 (#264)
RPI 0.452 (#266) 0.479 (#216)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC EKU
FG% 46.7% 39.5%
3PT% 34.8% 30.8%
REB / G 33.1 36.5
OREB / G 11.1 12.6
AST / TO 1.32 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 47.2%
TOV% 16.9% 18.7%
ORB% 31.9% 31.7%
FT Rate 24.0% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.7% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 13.9% 14.3%
DRB% 62.3% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.0% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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