They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -1.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Over
Money QUC -115 / EKU -111
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual EKU +4 164 Lost
Massey QUC -3.2 (-7.2)
Massey Totals 154.9 (+9.1)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 60%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -2.8 (-6.8) 152.4 (+11.6) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -2.0 (-6.0) 150.1 (+13.9) 59%
Baseline ML QUC -1.9 (-5.9) 150.4 (+13.6) 56%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -1.9 (-5.9) 152.0 (+12.0) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 QUC 9679 EKU
Jan 2, 2026 QUC 9189 EKU
Feb 15, 2025 EKU 8680 QUC
Feb 2, 2024 QUC 9476 EKU
Dec 31, 2022 EKU 8883 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC EKU
Overall 18-15 23-14
Conference 7-11 12-6
Home 8-5 14-2
Away 7-10 5-10
Neutral 3-0 4-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.6 73.8
Avg Pts Against 75.5 73.7
Massey -1.6 (#202) -1.2 (#196)
Bradley-Terry 0.21 (#151) 0.50 (#125)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.03 (#168) 0.29 (#143)
RPI 0.511 (#155) 0.546 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC EKU
FG% 44.5% 41.7%
3PT% 35.6% 33.0%
REB / G 37.1 38.0
OREB / G 11.1 12.6
AST / TO 1.07 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 47.9%
TOV% 18.1% 17.1%
ORB% 31.1% 32.1%
FT Rate 25.5% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 19.0%
DRB% 73.2% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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