Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -1.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Over
Money QUC -115 / EKU -111
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual EKU +4 164 Lost
Massey QUC -3.2 (-7.2) — —
Massey Totals — 154.9 (+9.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 60% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUC -1.9 (-5.9) 152.0 (+12.0) 54% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -2.8 (-6.8) 152.4 (+11.6) 64% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -2.0 (-6.0) 150.1 (+13.9) 59% ✗
Baseline ML QUC -1.9 (-5.9) 150.4 (+13.6) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 QUC 96 – 79 EKU
Jan 2, 2026 QUC 91 – 89 EKU
Feb 15, 2025 EKU 86 – 80 QUC
Feb 2, 2024 QUC 94 – 76 EKU
Dec 31, 2022 EKU 88 – 83 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC EKU
Overall 18-15 23-14
Conference 7-11 12-6
Home 8-5 14-2
Away 7-10 5-10
Neutral 3-0 4-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.6 73.8
Avg Pts Against 75.5 73.7
Massey -1.6 (#202) -1.2 (#196)
Bradley-Terry 0.21 (#151) 0.50 (#125)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.03 (#168) 0.29 (#143)
RPI 0.511 (#155) 0.546 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC EKU
FG% 44.5% 41.7%
3PT% 35.6% 33.0%
REB / G 37.1 38.0
OREB / G 11.1 12.6
AST / TO 1.07 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 47.9%
TOV% 18.1% 17.1%
ORB% 31.1% 32.1%
FT Rate 25.5% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 50.3%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 19.0%
DRB% 73.2% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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