Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | QUC +163 EKU -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +18 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -1.8 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.5 (+20.5) | 158.9 (+11.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -1.2 (+19.2) | 157.7 (+12.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -2.9 (+20.9) | 155.1 (+14.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -2.7 (+20.7) | 157.5 (+12.5) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | QUC 96 – 79 EKU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | QUC 91 – 89 EKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | EKU 86 – 80 QUC |
| Feb 10, 2023 | EKU 84 – 80 QUC |
| Dec 31, 2022 | EKU 88 – 83 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#303) | -2.8 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#260) | -0.45 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#279) | -0.62 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#257) | 0.480 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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