Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -145 QUC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +6 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -4.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.8 (+1.2) | 157.0 (+9.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -5.0 (+1.0) | 155.1 (+10.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.4 (+0.6) | 154.8 (+11.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -4.8 (+1.2) | 155.9 (+10.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | QUC 96 – 79 EKU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | QUC 91 – 89 EKU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | QUC 94 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | EKU 84 – 80 QUC |
| Dec 31, 2022 | EKU 88 – 83 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#186) | -3.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#184) | -0.07 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#170) | -0.40 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#189) | 0.487 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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