Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | EKU +100 QUC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -1.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.1 (+7.1) | 146.0 (+25.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -2.5 (+7.5) | 145.1 (+25.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.3 (+6.3) | 146.7 (+24.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -1.5 (+6.5) | 148.4 (+22.6) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | QUC 96 – 79 EKU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | QUC 91 – 89 EKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | EKU 86 – 80 QUC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | QUC 94 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | EKU 84 – 80 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#264) | 1.6 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#219) | 1.22 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#281) | 0.82 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#204) | 0.555 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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