Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -230 UTU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +15 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -3.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -2.5 (-17.5) | 138.4 (+4.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -4.5 (-19.5) | 137.1 (+5.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -2.5 (-17.5) | 137.2 (+5.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -2.6 (-17.6) | 138.8 (+4.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UTU 80 – 74 ACU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UTU 85 – 81 ACU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTU 76 – 70 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ACU 80 – 72 UTU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | ACU 86 – 72 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#228) | -3.7 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#134) | -0.49 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#152) | -0.73 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#94) | 0.486 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 44.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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