Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -162 UTU +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -0.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -0.2 (-6.2) | 142.0 (+4.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -1.7 (-7.7) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -0.1 (-5.9) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -0.1 (-6.1) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UTU 80 – 74 ACU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UTU 85 – 81 ACU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UTU 79 – 64 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ACU 80 – 72 UTU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | ACU 86 – 72 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#256) | -2.9 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#198) | -0.16 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#208) | -0.19 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#168) | 0.500 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.4% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.