Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +245 QUIN -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -8.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -7.9 (+8.9) | 150.5 (+8.5) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -7.4 (+8.4) | 152.3 (+6.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -7.6 (+8.6) | 148.3 (+10.7) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.9 (+7.9) | 148.6 (+10.4) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | QUIN 98 – 92 MAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | QUIN 74 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | QUIN 77 – 71 MAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 59 MAN |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MAN 72 – 70 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#327) | 0.6 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#270) | 1.37 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#270) | 1.47 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#262) | 0.550 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 59.3% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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