Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +190 QUIN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -0.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -0.4 (-3.4) | 154.4 (-9.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -2.0 (-1.0) | 152.8 (-7.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -0.5 (-3.5) | 153.3 (-8.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -0.4 (-3.4) | 153.8 (-8.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | QUIN 98 – 92 MAN |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MAN 80 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | QUIN 77 – 71 MAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 59 MAN |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MAN 72 – 70 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#248) | -2.1 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#227) | -0.14 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#246) | -0.12 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#209) | 0.527 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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