Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -1050 MAN +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +6 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -15.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (+30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -10.8 (-4.8) | 150.7 (+39.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -11.5 (-5.5) | 148.9 (+41.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -11.9 (-5.9) | 148.4 (+41.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -11.4 (-5.4) | 149.8 (+40.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | MAN 80 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | QUIN 74 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | QUIN 77 – 71 MAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 59 MAN |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MAN 72 – 70 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#187) | -13.5 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#141) | -1.60 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#134) | -2.34 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#120) | 0.433 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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