Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +210 QUIN -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -6.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -8.0 (+2.0) | 147.8 (+0.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -7.2 (+1.2) | 145.3 (+2.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.9 (+0.9) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -7.1 (+1.1) | 148.9 (-0.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | QUIN 98 – 92 MAN |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MAN 80 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | QUIN 74 – 71 MAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 59 MAN |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MAN 72 – 70 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 3-10 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#332) | -1.0 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#321) | 0.82 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#333) | 0.51 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#261) | 0.533 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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