Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | QUIN -480 MAN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +17 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -12.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -9.6 (+7.4) | 148.5 (-13.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -10.0 (+7.0) | 144.6 (-9.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -10.0 (+7.0) | 144.1 (-9.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -10.1 (+6.9) | 147.9 (-12.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | QUIN 98 – 92 MAN |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MAN 80 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | QUIN 74 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | QUIN 77 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MAN 72 – 70 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#225) | -11.3 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#154) | -1.50 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#172) | -3.05 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#194) | 0.451 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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