Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +1200 ARIZ -2400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +19 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -18.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -15.2 (-3.8) | 155.6 (+19.4) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -12.2 (-6.8) | 155.7 (+19.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -14.3 (-4.7) | 154.1 (+20.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -15.4 (-3.6) | 156.5 (+18.5) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2022 | UTAH 81 – 66 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 36-3 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-9 | 16-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 11-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#137) | 24.7 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#127) | 5.94 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#145) | 8.71 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#145) | 0.675 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 52.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 43.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 41.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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