Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -1800 UTAH +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -14.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.1 (+3.9) | 151.9 (-2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.0 (+4.0) | 153.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.3 (+4.7) | 153.5 (-4.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.0 (+5.0) | 152.4 (-3.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2022 | UTAH 81 – 66 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 20.0 (#8) | 9.0 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#32) | 1.37 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#25) | 1.64 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#35) | 0.518 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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