Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +170 ARIZ -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +6 | 204 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -5.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (+41.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.9 (-3.1) | 162.9 (+41.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -3.6 (-2.4) | 159.7 (+44.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.4 (-2.6) | 158.7 (+45.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.8 (-3.2) | 162.3 (+41.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2022 | UTAH 81 – 66 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 17-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#30) | 22.5 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#42) | 2.55 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#56) | 3.45 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#36) | 0.642 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 43.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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