Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +225 ARIZ -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -2.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -2.8 (+12.2) | 151.1 (-4.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.4 (+12.6) | 153.2 (-6.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -3.3 (+11.7) | 156.5 (-9.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -2.5 (+12.5) | 152.5 (-5.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#30) | 15.7 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#67) | 4.11 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#71) | 6.07 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#115) | 0.704 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 60.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 45.0% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 67.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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