Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -1000 UTAH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -9.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -9.2 (+16.8) | 151.7 (-1.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -11.0 (+15.0) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -9.7 (+16.3) | 151.0 (-1.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -9.2 (+16.8) | 153.0 (-3.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2022 | UTAH 81 – 66 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#9) | 10.4 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#11) | 1.00 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#19) | 1.33 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#6) | 0.524 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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