Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.0 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -900 UTAH +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +19 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -15.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -14.0 (+5.0) | 159.4 (+5.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -12.9 (+6.1) | 160.4 (+4.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.8 (+6.2) | 160.9 (+4.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.7 (+6.3) | 160.3 (+4.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2022 | UTAH 81 – 66 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 17-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 25.3 (#1) | 14.1 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#25) | 2.61 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#19) | 3.18 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#15) | 0.633 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 44.3 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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