Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 177.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH +160 AKR -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -1.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 188.6 (-39.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -1.3 (+1.7) | 163.6 (-14.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -3.2 (-0.2) | 166.3 (-17.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -2.2 (+0.8) | 166.3 (-17.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -1.6 (+1.4) | 171.1 (-22.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
| Jan 25, 2023 | AKR 73 – 68 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-2 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 17-1 |
| Home | 16-0 | 15-0 |
| Away | 14-0 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.3 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#88) | 12.1 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#21) | 1.54 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#23) | 1.79 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#127) | 0.578 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 2.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 60.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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