Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH +250 AKR -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -6.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -6.9 (+8.9) | 138.6 (-0.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -5.3 (+7.3) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -5.6 (+7.6) | 141.0 (-3.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -6.0 (+8.0) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2023 | AKR 73 – 68 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#254) | 5.9 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#247) | 1.48 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#269) | 1.90 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#251) | 0.577 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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