Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -400 M-OH +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -8.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -7.1 (+4.9) | 133.7 (+4.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -8.0 (+4.0) | 132.0 (+6.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -7.0 (+5.0) | 132.1 (+5.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -6.6 (+5.4) | 133.1 (+4.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
| Jan 25, 2023 | AKR 73 – 68 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#112) | -4.7 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#116) | -0.52 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#113) | -0.90 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#60) | 0.471 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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