Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -1200 M-OH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -16.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -15.1 (-10.1) | 143.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -13.7 (-8.7) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -14.7 (-9.7) | 145.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -15.1 (-10.1) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#111) | -8.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#118) | -1.86 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#138) | -2.19 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#130) | 0.407 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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