Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -380 M-OH +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +27 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -6.2 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -4.7 (+22.3) | 156.3 (+20.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -7.3 (+19.7) | 155.0 (+22.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -6.1 (+20.9) | 154.3 (+22.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -5.6 (+21.4) | 155.9 (+21.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
| Jan 25, 2023 | AKR 73 – 68 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-0 | 15-1 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#103) | 1.2 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#104) | 0.91 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#120) | 0.87 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#83) | 0.517 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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