Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -270 M-OH +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -4.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -6.3 (-4.3) | 158.2 (-8.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -4.6 (-2.6) | 158.5 (-8.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -3.8 (-1.8) | 156.5 (-6.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -3.0 (-1.0) | 158.6 (-8.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
| Jan 25, 2023 | AKR 73 – 68 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-0 | 15-1 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#99) | 0.3 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#75) | 0.75 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#87) | 0.52 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#21) | 0.548 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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