Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -900 OKST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +22 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -10.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -10.7 (+11.3) | 162.9 (+19.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -11.0 (+11.0) | 163.1 (+18.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -10.5 (+11.5) | 163.9 (+18.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -10.2 (+11.8) | 159.2 (+22.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OKST 71 – 68 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#25) | 10.3 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#18) | 2.69 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.52 (#21) | 3.31 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#11) | 0.574 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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