Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +120 TTU -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +17 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -3.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -2.8 (-14.2) | 146.8 (-13.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.8 (-15.2) | 145.4 (-12.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.8 (-14.2) | 147.2 (-14.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -2.1 (-14.9) | 148.5 (-15.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OKST 71 – 68 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#100) | 12.3 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#141) | 1.96 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#125) | 2.22 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#196) | 0.576 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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