Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -4.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -4.8 (-7.8) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -4.4 (-7.4) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -4.2 (-7.2) | 142.9 (-3.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -4.6 (-7.6) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#37) | 10.5 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#66) | 1.64 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#56) | 2.27 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#161) | 0.540 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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