Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Big 12 Conference · United Supermarkets Arena · March 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TTU -5.0 Away covered
O/U 137.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TTU win
Actual OKST +3 139 Lost
Massey TTU -4.0 (-7.0) — —
Massey Totals — 136.4 (+2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✗
Baseline Plus ML TTU -4.6 (-7.6) 139.3 (-0.3) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TTU -4.8 (-7.8) 138.1 (+0.9) 72% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TTU -4.4 (-7.4) 140.5 (-1.5) 68% ✗
Baseline ML TTU -4.2 (-7.2) 142.9 (-3.9) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2026 TTU 102 – 80 OKST
Feb 15, 2025 TTU 93 – 55 OKST
Jan 26, 2025 TTU 64 – 54 OKST
Mar 6, 2024 TTU 75 – 58 OKST
Jan 10, 2024 TTU 90 – 73 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TTU OKST
Overall 16-16 20-16
Conference 5-13 8-10
Home 11-6 12-6
Away 3-7 6-7
Neutral 2-3 2-3
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 68.3
Avg Pts Against 69.0 65.8
Massey 10.9 (#37) 10.5 (#43)
Bradley-Terry 1.45 (#66) 1.64 (#52)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.03 (#56) 2.27 (#46)
RPI 0.510 (#161) 0.540 (#99)
Shooting & Four Factors TTU OKST
FG% 46.5% 43.9%
3PT% 34.3% 31.6%
REB / G 35.2 36.1
OREB / G 10.3 10.7
AST / TO 0.93 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 50.1%
TOV% 19.8% 20.7%
ORB% 31.8% 31.7%
FT Rate 25.4% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 46.3%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 19.2%
DRB% 70.7% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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