Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -335 OKST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +17 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -10.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -11.5 (+5.5) | 140.2 (+22.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -9.4 (+7.6) | 141.6 (+21.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -9.9 (+7.1) | 140.4 (+22.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -10.3 (+6.7) | 142.0 (+21.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OKST 71 – 68 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#41) | 4.9 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#45) | -0.42 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#48) | -0.13 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#61) | 0.457 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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