Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +380 TTU -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +38 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -11.5 (-26.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -10.9 (-27.1) | 148.3 (-0.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -9.4 (-28.6) | 148.9 (-0.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -9.3 (-28.7) | 149.9 (-1.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -10.6 (-27.4) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OKST 71 – 68 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#102) | 19.3 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#100) | 2.80 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#92) | 3.76 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#170) | 0.598 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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