Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -205 LEH +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -3.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -2.2 (+4.8) | 135.8 (+1.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -3.1 (+3.9) | 137.9 (-0.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -2.8 (+4.2) | 136.7 (+0.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -2.1 (+4.9) | 136.1 (+0.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BUCK 86 – 80 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#322) | -10.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#323) | -2.79 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#315) | -4.14 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#295) | 0.380 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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