Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -225 BUCK +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +6 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -8.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.0 (-10.0) | 137.3 (+28.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.7 (-10.7) | 136.5 (+29.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.2 (-10.2) | 136.6 (+29.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.0 (-10.0) | 137.6 (+28.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#233) | -7.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#324) | -1.35 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#297) | -1.55 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#281) | 0.441 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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