Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -150 BUCK +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -3.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.8 (-0.8) | 142.8 (-12.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.2 (-0.2) | 145.1 (-15.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -2.7 (-0.7) | 142.5 (-12.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.3 (-0.3) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BUCK 86 – 80 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#263) | -4.6 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#166) | -1.09 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#205) | -1.25 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#126) | 0.466 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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