Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -290 LEH +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +17 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -5.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -5.6 (+11.4) | 143.9 (-26.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -5.1 (+11.9) | 145.3 (-28.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -4.5 (+12.5) | 145.9 (-28.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -5.0 (+12.0) | 145.2 (-28.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BUCK 86 – 80 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#234) | -6.9 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#246) | -1.45 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#237) | -1.88 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#223) | 0.443 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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