Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -115 LEH -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -3.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -2.6 (-10.6) | 141.7 (-7.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -1.2 (-9.2) | 140.0 (-6.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -2.3 (-10.3) | 142.3 (-8.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -3.0 (-11.0) | 142.3 (-8.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BUCK 86 – 80 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#279) | -6.3 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#301) | -2.33 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#296) | -2.58 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#274) | 0.416 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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