Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -1350 WIU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +23 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -14.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -10.5 (+12.5) | 144.9 (-21.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -11.5 (+11.5) | 145.1 (-22.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -9.8 (+13.2) | 146.8 (-23.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -10.2 (+12.8) | 145.8 (-22.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SEMO 78 – 74 WIU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SEMO 87 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SEMO 72 – 51 WIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | WIU 76 – 55 SEMO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | WIU 68 – 61 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 10-5 | 4-11 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#216) | -13.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#228) | -2.76 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#226) | -3.87 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#231) | 0.381 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.2% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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