Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +140 SEMO -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +21 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -3.9 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -4.4 (-16.6) | 130.2 (-7.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -3.2 (-17.8) | 129.7 (-6.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -4.2 (-16.8) | 132.4 (-9.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -3.5 (-17.5) | 130.0 (-7.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SEMO 78 – 74 WIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 50 WIU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SEMO 87 – 66 WIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | WIU 76 – 55 SEMO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | WIU 68 – 61 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#336) | -4.7 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#334) | -1.10 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#346) | -1.40 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#346) | 0.457 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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