Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -750 WIU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -13.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -13.1 (+7.9) | 141.0 (+12.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -10.0 (+11.0) | 142.4 (+10.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -11.4 (+9.6) | 140.4 (+12.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -11.6 (+9.4) | 141.6 (+11.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SEMO 78 – 74 WIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 50 WIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SEMO 72 – 51 WIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | WIU 76 – 55 SEMO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | WIU 68 – 61 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#202) | -12.8 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#205) | -2.20 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#214) | -3.14 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#169) | 0.393 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.