Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TAR -115 CBU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | TAR -3.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -2.6 (+2.4) | 140.7 (+16.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TAR -0.9 (+4.1) | 140.6 (+16.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TAR -3.3 (+1.7) | 140.6 (+16.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -2.9 (+2.1) | 141.5 (+15.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TAR 67 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#139) | 2.3 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#108) | 1.09 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#105) | 1.25 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#92) | 0.543 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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