Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -600 TAR +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +1 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -7.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-39.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -7.9 (-6.9) | 145.0 (-34.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -7.9 (-6.9) | 144.2 (-33.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -7.6 (-6.6) | 144.1 (-33.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -7.9 (-6.9) | 144.8 (-33.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TAR 67 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#130) | -2.2 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#76) | -0.34 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#86) | -0.12 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#94) | 0.466 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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