But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · March 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money CBU -380 / TAR +290
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +20 116 Won
Massey CBU -11.8 (+8.2) — —
Massey Totals — 129.8 (-13.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -10.8 (+9.2) 130.4 (-14.4) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -9.2 (+10.8) 128.6 (-12.6) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -9.5 (+10.5) 130.2 (-14.2) 83% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -9.2 (+10.8) 130.7 (-14.7) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 CBU 82 – 67 TAR
Feb 6, 2026 CBU 56 – 55 TAR
Jan 3, 2026 TAR 81 – 76 CBU
Mar 14, 2025 CBU 55 – 51 TAR
Jan 17, 2025 TAR 67 – 57 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU TAR
Overall 17-15 12-20
Conference 9-7 7-9
Home 11-5 10-3
Away 4-8 1-14
Neutral 2-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 71.2 60.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 70.2
Massey -0.5 (#164) -8.9 (#307)
Bradley-Terry -0.25 (#194) -0.93 (#256)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#178) -1.16 (#253)
RPI 0.500 (#184) 0.455 (#273)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU TAR
FG% 43.1% 41.8%
3PT% 30.8% 32.9%
REB / G 36.2 28.8
OREB / G 12.1 8.8
AST / TO 0.98 0.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 46.0%
TOV% 17.5% 25.4%
ORB% 33.4% 28.4%
FT Rate 22.7% 31.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 23.6%
DRB% 70.8% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 36.0%

Game Analysis

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