Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -380 TAR +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +20 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -11.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -10.8 (+9.2) | 130.4 (-14.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CBU -9.2 (+10.8) | 128.6 (-12.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CBU -9.5 (+10.5) | 130.2 (-14.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -9.2 (+10.8) | 130.7 (-14.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TAR 67 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 60.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#164) | -8.9 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#194) | -0.93 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#178) | -1.16 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#184) | 0.455 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 25.4% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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