Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -375 TAR +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -7.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -7.3 (+7.7) | 137.2 (+11.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -7.9 (+7.1) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -6.6 (+8.4) | 135.2 (+13.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -7.3 (+7.7) | 135.9 (+13.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TAR 67 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#137) | -2.8 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#82) | -0.27 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#90) | -0.19 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#100) | 0.469 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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